Falkirk vs Motherwell — prediction & result
Falkirk vs Motherwell — Premiership.
Kick-off: 2026-12-02T19:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Falkirk 29%, draw 22%, Motherwell 49%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (7%).
The model gives the home side a 29.0% chance, the draw 21.7% and the away side 49.3% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:2 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 39% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 45% with both teams scoring at 67% (expected goals 1.48 vs 1.99).
Falkirk · Motherwell · Today's matches