Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth — prediction & result
Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth — UEFA Europa League.
Kick-off: 2026-11-26T17:45:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Celta Vigo 25%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 52%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%).
The model gives the home side a 24.6% chance, the draw 23.7% and the away side 51.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:1 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 48% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 31% with both teams scoring at 54% (expected goals 1.08 vs 1.69).
UEFA Europa League · Celta Vigo · Bournemouth · Today's matches