Fluminense vs Mirassol — prediction & result
Fluminense vs Mirassol — Brasileirão Serie A.
Kick-off: 2026-11-22T21:00:00Z (UTC). Model probabilities are locked before kick-off and reconciled afterwards.
Model probabilities: Fluminense 54%, draw 26%, Mirassol 20%.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%).
The model gives the home side a 54.4% chance, the draw 25.9% and the away side 19.7% — a full distribution, not a single verdict.
Most probable scoreline is 1:0 — but the top five scorelines together cover only 59% of outcomes.
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% with both teams scoring at 41% (expected goals 1.47 vs 0.76).
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